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S&P 5007,675.70−0.02%FTSE 10010,878.10−0.07%NASDAQ26,130.20−0.08%Gold (GLD)421.32−1.58%Bitcoin78,748.37−0.35%EUR/USD1.17+0.02%Nikkei 22566,262.16+0.62%STOXX 506,470.74+0.23%S&P 5007,675.70−0.02%FTSE 10010,878.10−0.07%NASDAQ26,130.20−0.08%Gold (GLD)421.32−1.58%Bitcoin78,748.37−0.35%EUR/USD1.17+0.02%Nikkei 22566,262.16+0.62%STOXX 506,470.74+0.23%

Latest signal

Where are global economies in the cycle right now?

US · Eurozone · UK · Japan · Australia · China · India · South Korea · Canada · Mexico — updated nightly

Top Assets & Indices

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AssetLastDoDYTD

End-of-day prices · updated daily

Sector Performance

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YTD

Macro Pulse

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US CPI YoY

3.30

Above target

VIX

15.45

Low volatility

Yield Curve (10Y-2Y)

0.47

Normal

USD Index

118.06

Soft dollar

Market News

The signal gap

Two ways to read the same market.

The Narrative (illustrative)

The Intelligence

Markets pricing in a soft landing — analysts divided on direction

US·Expansion·33% confidence

Historically a calmer, lower-volatility backdrop, with cyclical leadership tending to broaden.

Recession fears grow as PMI falls below 50 for a third month

Led this phase

  • Information Technology+1.61%/mo avg
  • Energy+1.46%/mo avg
  • Industrials+1.33%/mo avg

Inflation cooling — Fed signals pause, bonds look attractive

  • Yield curve0.47· Normal
  • VIX15.45· Low volatility
  • Dollar index118.06· Soft dollar

From Reacting to Anticipating

What the cycle reveals that headlines don't

Short videos. Real problems. NumenEdge signals that solve them.

Understanding Business Cycles

How economic cycles affect your portfolio allocation and sector choices.

Reading Inflation Signals

What CPI, core inflation, and real rates mean for equity and bond returns.

Sector Rotation Explained

Why different sectors outperform at different points in the economic cycle.